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SBA Says the Risk Is Operational. The Report It Requires Is Financial.

Sep 23
5 min read

Updated: Sep 24


What SOP 50 10 8.1's new Quality of Earnings requirement asks lenders to conclude — and the half of that question it leaves untested.

On October 1, 2026, SOP 50 10 8.1 takes effect. For initial acquisition and business expansion transactions where the business purchase price reaches $3 million or more, the lender must now obtain an independent Quality of Earnings report — ordered by the lender, prepared for the lender's benefit, and retained in the credit file. A report prepared by or for the borrower or seller does not satisfy it.

It is a meaningful tightening, and a welcome one for anyone who has watched an acquisition close on a seller's recast add-back schedule.

But the most revealing sentence in the new requirement is not about what the QoE must do. It is about who does not need one.

SBA explains the risk, in its own words

The SOP exempts two transaction types from the QoE requirement, and explains why:

"Owner Buyout and ESOP & Cooperative transactions are not subject to the QoE requirement because the existing owner(s) retain operational knowledge of the business and the transaction does not result in a change to the management or operating structure."

Read what that sentence identifies as the trigger. A QoE is required when operational knowledge leaves the business, and when the operating structure changes.

Neither of those is a financial-reporting problem. SBA has named the risk it is trying to price, and the risk it named is operational.

Then it prescribed a financial instrument to measure it.

That is not a criticism of the rule. A Quality of Earnings is the right requirement and the lower middle market is better for having it. But it is worth being precise about how far a financial analysis can reach into an operational risk — because the SOP itself asks the report to reach further than its stated scope goes.

The sentence that asks for a margin conclusion

Here is the core scope requirement:

"The QoE must assess the quality and sustainability of the business's revenue base, including customer concentration risk, contract continuity, and the likelihood that existing revenue and margins will be maintained post-sale."

The report must assess the likelihood that margins will be maintained after the sale.

A margin has two sides. It is what the business charges minus what the business pays.

Now look at the scope SBA enumerates to support that conclusion: the revenue base. Customer concentration. Contract continuity. Every named test sits on the revenue side of the equation.

A QoE performed exactly to this specification examines half of what determines the answer it is required to give.

What the SOP never mentions

We searched the full text of SOP 50 10 8.1 — all 143,000 words, every program and appendix.

The words "tariff," "geographic exposure," "excess inventory," "tooling," "cost of goods," "gross margin," "input cost," "sole source" and "single source" do not appear anywhere in the document. Not once. "Supplier" appears four times, all in CAPLines, surety and export-receivable contexts — none in change-of-ownership diligence.

SBA requires an assessment of whether margins hold after the sale, and never names a single cost-side driver of margin.

Why this reaches the credit decision

If the QoE were a compliance artifact, none of this would matter much. It isn't:

"The Lender must use the earnings from the QoE in the Debt Service Coverage (DSC) determination and retain the QoE report in the credit file."

And if the coverage doesn't hold, the loan shrinks:

"When a change of ownership transaction requires a Quality of Earnings (QoE) report as part of the necessary financial due diligence, the Lender must use the report's findings to calculate the Debt Service Coverage. If that Debt Service Coverage does not support the business valuation and proposed debt structure, the loan amount must be reduced accordingly."

So the normalized earnings figure sets the loan amount. That figure is built on a margin the report was required to opine on and given only revenue-side tools to evaluate.

Five situations where that becomes expensive, none of which a QoE is scoped to find:

A sole-source component with no qualified alternative. Gross margin looks stable for three years. Requalifying a second vendor takes nine months, and the incumbent knows it.

A supplier agreement expiring at or shortly after closing. Pricing held for years on a relationship with the departing owner — the same owner whose exit triggered the QoE requirement in the first place.

Tariff or duty exposure concentrated in one sourcing lane. Nothing in the trailing twelve months reflects a rate change already announced.

Inventory carried at cost that will never convert. It inflates the balance sheet at closing and becomes a working capital problem in month four.

Input prices that moved after the measurement period closed. Freight, commodity or supplier increases landing between the last fiscal year and the first loan payment.

Every one of these hits cost of goods sold or working capital. None of them makes the QoE wrong. The historical earnings were exactly what the report says. The debt service coverage built on them can still be wrong on day one.

The other half of the question

In large private equity transactions, this work has a name — operational due diligence. It is routine above a certain deal size, performed by specialists, and considered unremarkable.

Below roughly $50 million it largely vanishes. Not because the risk shrinks. In smaller businesses supplier concentration is usually worse, contracts are less formal, purchasing is less disciplined, and pricing depends more heavily on personal relationships that leave with the seller. The risk is higher and the diligence is absent.

Quality of Costs is APS Advisory's productized version of that workstream, built for the deals sized at $3M+ — the same threshold where the QoE requirement now begins. It examines five areas: cost structure and procurement, supplier and supply chain risk, inventory and working capital, external cost exposure, and operational maturity. It produces an operational risk score from 0 to 100, the material findings behind it, and an estimated EBITDA-at-risk range where the evidence supports quantification.

It is deliberately narrow. It does not value the business, interpret contracts, or attest to financial statements — that is other people's licensed work.

And to be unambiguous: nothing in SOP 50 10 8.1 requires it. A lender who obtains a QoE has satisfied the requirement in full. A Quality of Costs review is not a substitute for a QoE and does not discharge any SBA obligation.

The narrower point is the one worth sitting with. Starting October 1, every one of these loans will carry an independent report assessing whether margins hold post-sale — assembled from tests that examine only the revenue side. That is a gap in coverage, not a gap in compliance. Coverage gaps are the kind credit committees find out about later.

APS Advisory performs independent, flat-fee Quality of Costs reviews for acquisitions/sales of $3M+. If you're underwriting a transaction with meaningful purchased-cost exposure, we can tell you quickly whether a review is warranted.

 
 
 

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